Axial tilt
A hemisphere leans away from the Sun during its winter half of the orbit.
Learn · Formation and process
A connected process chain from planetary geometry to local weather and surface transformation.
1 · Planetary forcing
A hemisphere leans away from the Sun during its winter half of the orbit.
Lower-angle sunlight and shorter days reduce available solar energy compared with summer at the same latitude.
Land, water, elevation and atmospheric circulation shape how that seasonal forcing is expressed locally.
Evidence boundary: the process chain explains seasonality. It does not produce a weather forecast.
2 · Atmospheric phase paths
Snow can remain frozen to the surface when the column stays cold enough.
Partial or complete melting aloft followed by enough refreezing can support ice pellets / sleet.
Liquid drops can reach the surface supercooled and freeze on contact, producing freezing rain.
3 · Surface transformation
Accumulated snow changes through compaction, wind movement, melt and refreezing.
Supercooled droplets freeze on exposed objects, producing granular opaque ice.
Water vapor deposits directly as ice crystals on sufficiently cold surfaces.
4 · Regional amplification
Cold air moving across relatively warmer unfrozen lake water can take up heat and moisture. Wind direction and geography then help determine where narrow snow bands develop.
This description is not sufficient for a real-world forecast. Actual forecasting needs observed and modeled atmospheric conditions.